Service Plays Thursday 06/25/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, JUNE 25

INTERLEAGUE

Philadelphia (37-32) at Tampa Bay (38-35)


Last year’s World Series participants wrap up a three-game series at Tropicana Field, with the Rays trotting out right-hander Andy Sonnanstine (5-7, 6.60 ERA) opposite Phillies rookie Antonio Bastardo (2-2, 5.21).


Tampa Bay bounced back from Tuesday’s 10-1 shellacking to the Phillies and delivered their own beat-down Wednesday, rolling to a 7-1 victory. The Rays have won nine of their last 13 overall and are on further rolls of 80-33 at the Trop, 45-17 when hosting teams with a winning record, 5-1 in interleague home games and 6-2 against the N.L. East.


Philadelphia, which entered this series coming off a dismal 1-8 homestand, still have baseball’s best road mark at 24-10, and they’re 38-17 in their last 55 roadies dating to last season. However, they’re now on a 10-20 nosedive in interleague road contests and they’ve dropped seven of their last eight in interleague play.


Philadelphia took out Tampa Bay in five games in last year’s Fall Classic, with the home team going 4-1, and the Phils have won four of the last five in this rivalry. These squads have met 14 times since 2000, and the host has gone 10-4, with the Rays winning six of their last eight clashes at the Trop.


The Rays have alternated wins and losses in Sonnanstine’s last six starts, with the righty going 3-3 in that stretch. Last Friday against the Mets, he allowed four runs on seven hits and two walks in a 5-3 road loss. Sonnanstine hasn’t been beaten at home this year, going 4-0 with a 4.15 ERA in five starts.


Tampa is 1-5 in Sonnanstine’s last six starts against winning teams, but the Rays are on runs behind Sonnanstine of 4-0 at home, 9-2 against winning teams at the Trop and 7-2 in interleague play. Sonnanstine lost his lone career start against Philly in Game 4 of last year’s World Series, a 10-2 road blasting as he allowed five runs (three earned) on six hits and three walks in just four innings.


Bastardo has taken the loss in his last two starts after winning his first two big-league contests. Last Friday against Baltimore, he gave up four runs on five hits with no walks and five strikeouts in a 7-2 home loss. Six days earlier at home against Boston, he threw just one inning, allowing five runs (four earned) on three hits and three walks in an 11-6 defeat. Bastardo is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his two road outings, and this will be his first game against the Rays.


The under for Tampa Bay is on streaks of 5-2 overall (all in interleague play), 9-4-1 at home, 25-10-1 in interleague home games, 5-0 with Sonnanstine facing a winning team and 5-2 behind the righty at home. Likewise, Philadelphia is riding “under” streaks of 18-9-1 in interleague play, 7-1 in A.L. ballparks and 6-2-1 on artificial turf, though the over has hit in four of the Phils’ last six road games.


Finally, the under is 5-2-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings in Tampa Bay.


ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER




N.Y. Yankees (39-32) at Atlanta (34-37)


The Yankees finally got back in the win column last night in Atlanta and now send left-hander Andy Pettitte (7-3, 4.26 ERA) to the mound at Turner Field to wrap up a three-game series with the Braves, who will counter with right-hander Derek Lowe (7-5, 4.09).


After getting shut out 4-0 in the series opener Tuesday, New York finally busted out the bats en route to an 8-4 victory Wednesday to halt a three-game losing skid. The Yankees remain just 5-9 in their last 14 games, following a 19-6 surge that had them atop the A.L. East. Joe Girardi’s squad is on further skids of 2-6 on the road and 1-4 against right-handed starters.


Atlanta is on upticks of 5-3 at Turner and 13-7 against winning teams, and in interleague play, the Braves are on rolls of 6-1 at home and 8-4 against winning teams. However, they’ve gone just 3-9 in their last 12 interleague home games against lefties.


After winning four in a row behind Pettitte, New York has split his last four starts. Most recently, Pettitte shut down host Florida last Friday in a 5-1 victory, allowing one run on three hits in seven innings with seven strikeouts against no walks. The southpaw is 4-1 with a solid 2.35 ERA in six road starts this season, and he’s 5-1 with a 3.13 ERA in nine career starts against Atlanta.


With Pettitte on the hill, the Yankees are on upswings of 6-2 overall, 5-1 on the road, 5-1 in interleague play, 17-6 against the N.L. East and a lengthy 67-28 against opponents with a losing record.


Atlanta has dropped two in a row and four of five backing Lowe, including Saturday’s 3-0 loss at Boston, in which he allowed all three runs on seven hits and a walk in 6 1/3 innings. Prior to that, he went just 2 1/3 innings in an 11-2 loss at Baltimore, yielding a season-high seven runs on eight hits and three walks.


Lowe is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA in seven home starts this season, but he’s 8-10 with an inflated 6.07 ERA in 39 career appearances (15 starts) against the Yankees. On the positive side, the Braves are 4-1 in Lowe’s last five starts against winning teams.



The under is on a bundle of runs for New York, including 6-2 overall, 8-2 against losing teams, 19-8 in interleague play and 7-2 in interleague roadies. Plus, with Pettitte starting, the under is on rolls of 43-17-1 overall, 28-10 on the road, 10-1 against the N.L. East and 16-5-1 in interleague contests. For Atlanta, the under is on stretches of 5-2-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 6-1 with Lowe starting and 4-0 behind Lowe at Turner.



Finally, last night’s game easily topped the posted total, ending a 5-0 “under” run in this rivalry.


ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW YORK and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Twins Wednesday night.

Today it's the Cardinals. The surplus is 800 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

June 25, 2009

Slumping Hondo, who's feeling fatigued like A- Rod but can't get a day off, went draino with the Dodgers last night and saw his earnings plummet to 230 andujars (still a better number than A-Rod's BA). Today, he'll hammer away at the Mets with Car penter -- 10 units on the Cards. Tonight, he'll ride that Bastardo, who's one tough SOB -- 10 on the Phillies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
32-14 run on Bonus Plays

Thurs Chi CUBS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MJP sports MLB

6/25/2009 NEW YORK METS 106

6/25/2009 DETROIT TIGERS 104

6/25/2009 MILWAUKEE BREWERS 114

6/25/2009 TORONTO BLUE JAYS -120

6/25/2009 PITTSBURGH PIRATES 147

6/25/2009 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 125

6/25/2009 Best Bet! NEW YORK YANKEES -107

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Toronto
The Blue Jays go for the sweep against a Cincinnati team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games as a road underdog. Toronto is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, JUNE 25

Game 901-902: St. Louis at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.763; NY Mets (Santana) 14.577
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under
Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 16.005; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.765
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); Over
Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.895; White Sox (Richard) 15.645
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Over
Game 907-908: Kansas City at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 14.767; Houston (Moehler) 13.589
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under
Game 909-910: Minnesota at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 14.341; Milwaukee (Burns) 15.520
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Under
Game 911-912: San Diego at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Leblanc) 15.531; Seattle (Washburn) 15.019
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+175); Over
Game 913-914: Cincinnati at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.240; Toronto (Cecil) 15.215
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over
Game 915-916: Cleveland at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lee) 15.286; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.301
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Over
Game 917-918: Boston at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Smoltz) 15.525; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.185
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Over
Game 919-920: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Bastardo) 15.883; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.214
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Under
Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.463; Atlanta (Lowe) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hill) 16.276; Florida (West) 14.924
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Under
Game 925-926: Texas at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.478; Arizona (Garland) 13.812
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Under



WNBA Basketball Picks
Phoenix at Washington
The Mercury look to bounce back from their defeat at San Antonio on Tuesday and build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Phoenix is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 25

Game 601-602: Phoenix at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 111.313; Washington 111.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 170 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 176
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Cardinals
Rangers

 

[MMfan]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Thursday, June 25, 2009
$30.00 Guaranteed: Stats and angles are important to examine, but when EVERYTHING comes together, you need to step up and HAMMER the line! Thursday go inside the numbers and strike GOLD with this baseball once-a-season Interleague Game of the Year, then cash BIG TONIGHT!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/24/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>5* Red Sox (918) at Nationals: The Washington Nationals have been rotten on defense (a league-high 64 errors) and a league-high 16 blown saves. They may have garnered some attention last week by taking two of three from the Yankees and Jays, but this is an awful team. We saw that in the opener of this series with an 11-3 Boston rout, feasting on the terrible Washington pen. The first-place Red Sox have a deep pen and are the best team in the AL. John Smoltz may make just his first start here, but I am not concerned with that, as the Sox pen is so strong. Justin Masterson, Okajima, Saito, DelCarmen and Papelbon could combined for 6-7 innings, if needed. Washington started the season 12-24 at home and starter Jordan Zimmermann allows more hits than innings pitched. In fact, the Nationals are 1-6 his last 7 starts, yet he is getting some respect with this number. I don't see it. Play the Red Sox


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Thursday, June 25, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton has a 5-Star Shocker Game of the Week ready to TRASH the books on Thursday's baseball card. Go inside the numbers and strike GOLD with this baseball 5-Star Shocker Game of the Week, then cash BIG TONIGHT! </TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>6/24/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>5* NY Yankees (921) at Braves: Atlanta is a weak offensive club, ranked 21st in runs scored in baseball. This NY offense may have been in a rut the last week, but let's no kid ourselves: This is a deep and talented offensive lineup that will hit. Fourth place Atlanta is a .500 team at home, yet opened as a favorite here. The Yankees catch a break facing a struggling Atlanta pitcher Derek Lowe, who is 36 years old. His last three starts he has been awful with a 7.47 ERA. In face, despite having the reputation as an ace, especially after a hot April, the Braves are 1-4 his last five starts. NY lefty Andy Pettitte has been on a quiet role, 2-1 his last three starts with only four walks. The old veteran has been sharp with 17 strikeouts in those last 18 innings. In fact, all time he is 5-1 against Atlanta with a 3.13 ERA. Lowe may have pitched well against NY in Game 7 of the 2004 ALCS, but he still has a 6.06 ERA in 102 career innings against NY. Play the Yankees</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[jnc750]

Scott Delaney

Thursday ...
20 DIME MILWAUKEE BREWERS (WITH Burns and Baker) - Analysis due back by Noon eastern



5 DIME L.A. DODGERS (WITH Billingsley) -



5 DIME TAMPA BAY RAYS (WITH Sonnanstine and Bastardo) -

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Red Sox
Orioles
Cubs

 

[CaliDreaming]

rocketman sports
3* Twins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Thursday, June 25th, 2009 7:05 PM EST.
Boston Red Sox (44-27) at Washington Nationals (20-49)
(R) John Smoltz (0-0) vs. (R) Jordan Zimmermann (2-3)
Oddsmakers: Boston as a -120 road favorite with the total listed at 9 'over'.

Boston Red Sox -120

Thursday, June 25th, 2009 7:05 PM EST.
Cincinnati Reds (34-36) at Toronto Blue Jays (40-33)
(R) Johnny Cueto (6-4) vs. (L) Brett Cecil (2-1)
Oddsmakers: Toronto as a -125 home favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

Toronto Blue Jays -125

 

[cork999]

Drew Gordon
Today's Games... 1. 100,000♦ Rays
2. 50,000♦ Reds

1. Rays- Solid spot to back the Rays, as they look for redemption against their former World Series foe tonight at the Trop. There's a couple strong reasons to like Tampa Bay here, but let's start with the most obvious - the pitching match up.

Although rookie southpaw Antonio Bastardo was impressive in his debut, its gone all downhill from there. He's gotten tagged for 8 runs over his last 8 innings as a starter, and has looked every part a wet-behind-the-ears rookie in the process. He was better in his last start, lasting a career-high 7 innings, but things are going to be a lot tougher against a very good Rays offense tonight.

Speaking of the Rays offense, there's almost no comparison between the two clubs, at least in the short-term. The Phillies have struggled mightily at the plate in losing 9 of their last 11 games, and yesterday was a perfect example: 1 run on just 4 hits, wasting an excellent effort by Joe Blanton. The Rays on the other hand, have been great, batting .291 as a team over their last 10, and while they don't particularly hit lefties well at home, they still average 5.0 runs overall against them on the season.

The final piece of the puzzle is Andy Sonnanstine, who's flourished at the Trop, going 4-0 with a 4.15 ERA there this season. He's been terrible on the road (1-7, 8.22 ERA), but put him in friendly surroundings and he's been a totally different pitcher. He's allowed a grand total of 5 runs over his last 14 innings at home (two starts), and quite frankly, the Phillies offense is anything but dangerous right now.

Finally, not only are the Phillies just 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Tampa, but the Rays have been excellent following a win (9-3 L12 in that spot) AND have been rock-solid as a favorite (10-4 L14 games as a fav)... So, underestimate the Rays at your own risk here! One final note, the Phillies pen is in total disarray, posting a disgusting 8.12 ERA over their L3 games, and while they're expected to activate Brad Lidge tonight, he's been anything but consistent this season. Rays roll at the Trop, getting a little redemption in the process!

Take the Rays behind Sonnanstine over the Phillies and Bastardo as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Reds- Nice spot to grab a little plus money behind the Reds and "road warrior" Johnny Cueto in this one. Cincy's stud righty is having a solid season, but he's been especially good on the highway, going 5-2 with a lockdown 1.53 ERA! True, he got roughed up at home in his last start by the White Sox, but that was after tossing 4 straight quality road starts, so let's cut him some slack! Look for Cueto to have a solid bounce back effort tonight.

Opposing Cueto is the Blue Jays rookie lefty Brett Cecil, who has been up-and-down this season. True, he looked good in his return to the Majors, allowing 3 runs on 8 hits over 7 innings at the Nationals, but c'mon guys, a lot of pitchers look good against the sorry-ass Nats! Cecil will have very little room for error vs Cueto, who's been a virtual lock for a quality effort every time he pitches on the road. That brings me to my next point...

Of course, we give the edge at the plate to the Blue Jays, who've had a far more potent offense than the Reds. But before you go unloading on Toronto, consider that the Reds do prefer to hit lefties over righties, batting .251 against southpaws as compared to just .240 against righties. Not only that, but Cincy is a solid 5-3 against lefty starters on the road. Cueto will have his work cut out for him against this Toronto offense, but make no mistake, the Reds will test Cecil early and often.

Bottom line, the Reds are desperate for a win, and Johnny Cueto is the man to go and get it for them, pitching where he's at his best - on the highway! Look for the Reds to come out sharp, as they try and avoid the sweep, and there's nothing like facing a vulnerable young lefty to help their cause. In the end, Cueto throws some cold water on the Blue Jays red-hot offense Thursday night!

Take the Reds behind Cueto over the Blue Jays and Cecil in this MLB match up




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS

 

[cork999]

1000♦ - NY Yankees w/Pettitte over Lowe

♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦

No doubt the Red Sox know what they are doing starting John Smoltz tonight against Washington, as Smoltzie has owned the Nats from his long tenure in the senior circut, but I am not so sure Smoltz will be on target in this start tonight.

Boston has won 4 straight, and I feel they are about due for a loss in this spot, as Washington has been playing some competitive baseball, and starter Jordan Zimmerman has allowed just 4 runs over his last 17 innings of work but is 0-1 in those 3 starts.

Zimmerman deserves some support, and tonight against a pitched that hasn't started in almost a year, he will get that support.

Take the Nationals to spring the upset.

500♦ - Washington w/Zimmerman over Smoltz

♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦

TRACE ADAMS


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-------GL GUYS

 

[whitelightning]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT! (80% CLUB STAT)

Pick # 1 Cincinnati Reds/ Toronto Blue Jays Over 8.5 -115

 

[cork999]

Trace Adams
Trace Adams PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN - 500* - Baltimore w/Hill over West Baltimore has been cooled off, as the O's had come to Florida winners of 5 in a row, and now they have lost the first 2 of their 3 game set with the suddenly hot Marlins who are on a 4 game win streak.

I like Baltimore to salvage the series with the win tonight, as starter Rich Hill looked very solid in his last effort, a 7 inning, 2 run win at Philadelphia. Hill is 3-1 this season, and all 3 of the wins have come on the road, so why not make it 4-1 after tonight's start?

Sean West has struggled against the AL East, as he is 1-1 in 2 starts against Toronto, and New York, but he has allowed 9 runs in just 10 innings of work.

Baltimore avoids the sweep in this one.

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN
500♦ - Baltimore w/Hill over West

♦♦♦NOTE: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦♦


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-------GL GUYS

 

[Ryangene]

CappersJungle

CHI CUBS
Pitcher: T LILLY -L
-125
(5 Dimes)
$62.50 to win $50



BOS RED SOX
Pitcher: J SMOLTZ -R
-120
(5 Dimes)
$60 to win $50

NY YANKEES
Pitcher: A PETTITTE-L
EV
(5 Dimes)
$50 to win $50

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

erin rynning

toronto/playmaker

 

[Ryangene]

Jamie Tursini

St Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

As dominating as C.Carpenter has been I just don't think he should be the road favorite vs J.Santana.At home Santana is 5-2 with an ERA of 2.18 having allowed only 39 hits in 53.2 innings while striking out 56! Combine Santana with the struggles that the Cardinals have vs lefties. Who bat only .220 averaging only 2.75 runs on the road per 9 innings. And this is just a "live home dog" well worth taking.

Play: New York Mets +110